Time Series Analysis of Tuberculosis in the State of Veracruz from 2000 to 2018
Abstract
This paper reviews the information from the General Direction of Epidemiology, particularly the registered cases of pulmonary Tuberculosis in the State of Veracruz, from 2000 to 2018.
This information, viewed as a time series, is analyzed using one of the most employed approaches for the study of time series. The behavior of the series is reviewed to find if it has any kind of constant or seasonal trend, seasonality tests are performed and finally integrated autoregressive moving average models are obtained, in order to make forecasts. The parameters of the best ARIMA models obtained are shown, as well as the values of the Akaike and Bayesian information criteria for the series reported by month and by epidemiological week.
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References
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