Estimación de la Curva de Kuznets Ambiental para México 1974-2020
Resumen
El presente artículo tiene como objetivo principal realizar una validación actual de la Curva Ambiental de Kuznets (CAK) en la economía mexicana. Se utilizan datos anuales agregados entre 1973 y 2020 para realizar la validación empírica de la relación cuadrática de largo plazo (forma de ‘U’ invertida) entre los niveles de contaminación y el crecimiento económico. La metodología utilizada para el análisis empírico de la CAK sigue un modelo de series temporales, Rezagos Distribuidos Autorregresivos (ARDL), que captura las relaciones de corto y largo plazo entre ambas variables. Los resultados encuentran que la CAK se cumple para el periodo bajo análisis, así como un efecto positivo de largo plazo de las inversiones extranjeras directas en la emisión de CO2.
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Derechos de autor 2024 Maricela Pérez Juárez
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